Iraq Population Map Metadata Report

Prediction Weighting Layer Used in Population Redistribution

The data presented below represent the predicted number of people per ~100 m pixel as estimated using the random forest (RF) model as described in Stevens, et al. (In Press). The following pages contain a description of the RF model and its covariates, their sources and any metadata collected for each covariate. The prediction weighting layer is used to dasymetrically redistribute the census counts and project counts to match estimated populations based on UN estimates for the final population maps provided by AfriPop, AsiaPop and AmeriPop.

plot of chunk predict_density

Iraq Census Data and Observed Population Density

These data are the population density values used to estimate the RF model used to create the prediction weighting layer you see above. Values represent population density as measured by people per hectare and calculated from population counts within each census unit. These values are used as the dependent variable during model estimation.

Estimated population, 2014

Folder: Census
File Name: irq_admbnda_adm2_ocha_20140717_modAle.shp
Source: Iraqi Central Statistical Organization, 2014
Description: Level 2 administrative unit boundaries and the corresponding population estimates for 2014 were attained through the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA).
Class: polygon
Derived Covariates:
area, buff, zones,

class       : SpatialPolygonsDataFrame 
nfeatures   : 108 
extent      : -77762, 850348, 3215606, 4139490  (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
coord. ref. : NA 
nvariables  : 21

plot of chunk census_data


Random Forest Model and Diagnostics

These output and figures outline the estimated RF model that is used to predict the population density weighting layer. The model is fitted to the population density values for the preceding census data using covariates aggregatedfrom the ancillary data sources summarized following the model diagnostics.


Call:
 randomForest(x = x_data, y = y_data, ntree = popfit$ntree, mtry = popfit$mtry,      nodesize = length(y_data)/1000, importance = TRUE, proximity = TRUE) 
               Type of random forest: regression
                     Number of trees: 500
No. of variables tried at each split: 7

          Mean of squared residuals: 0.59
                    % Var explained: 80

plot of chunk random_forestplot of chunk random_forestplot of chunk random_forest

Covariate Metadata

Remotely-sensed, Classified Landcover, 2000

Folder: Landcover
File Name: IRQ_RF_LC_INPUT.tif
Source: Geocover 2000 (30m), http://www.mdafederal.com/geocover
Description: Land cover from GeoCover 2000 coverage fused with Landsat-derived urban/rural built area classification to construct a single land cover dataset.
Class: raster
Derived Covariates:
prp011, cls011, dst011, prp040, cls040, dst040, prp130, cls130, dst130, prp140, cls140, dst140, prp150, cls150, dst150, prp160, cls160, dst160, prp190, cls190, dst190, prp200, cls200, dst200, prp210, cls210, dst210, prp230, cls230, dst230, prp240, cls240, dst240, prp250, cls250, dst250, prpBLT, clsBLT, dstBLT,

class       : RasterBrick 
dimensions  : 9431, 9356, 88236436, 1  (nrow, ncol, ncell, nlayers)
resolution  : 100, 100  (x, y)
extent      : -87798, 847802, 3206426, 4149526  (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
coord. ref. : +proj=utm +zone=38 +datum=WGS84 +units=m +no_defs +ellps=WGS84 +towgs84=0,0,0 
data source : F:\WorldPop\RFmap\data\IRQ\Landcover\Derived\landcover.tif 
names       : landcover 
min values  :         0 
max values  :       240 

plot of chunk covariate_reports


MODIS 17A3 2010 Estimated Net Primary Productivity, 1km

Folder: NPP
File Name: DEFAULT: MODIS 17A3 2010
Source: United States Geological Survey (USGS)
Description: MODIS 17A3 version-55 derived estimates of net primary productivity for the year 2010, estimated for 1km pixel sizes and subset and resampled to match the available land cover and final population map output requirements.
Class: raster
Derived Covariates:
,

class       : RasterBrick 
dimensions  : 9431, 9356, 88236436, 1  (nrow, ncol, ncell, nlayers)
resolution  : 100, 100  (x, y)
extent      : -87798, 847802, 3206426, 4149526  (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
coord. ref. : +proj=utm +zone=38 +datum=WGS84 +units=m +no_defs +ellps=WGS84 +towgs84=0,0,0 
data source : F:\WorldPop\RFmap\data\IRQ\NPP\Derived\npp.tif 
names       :  npp 
min values  :    0 
max values  : 8187 

plot of chunk covariate_reports


Suomi NPP VIIRS-Derived 2012 Lights at Night, 15 arc-second

Folder: Lights
File Name: DEFAULT: VIIRS 2012
Source: http://ngdc.noaa.gov/eog/viirs/download_viirs_ntl.html
Description: These 'Lights at Night' data were derived from imagery collected by the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensor. Data were collected in 2012 on moonless nights and though background noise associated with fires, gas-flares, volcanoes or aurora have not been removed it represents the best-available data for night-time light production.
Class: raster
Derived Covariates:
,

class       : RasterBrick 
dimensions  : 9432, 9356, 88245792, 1  (nrow, ncol, ncell, nlayers)
resolution  : 100, 100  (x, y)
extent      : -87798, 847802, 3206326, 4149526  (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
coord. ref. : +proj=utm +zone=38 +datum=WGS84 +units=m +no_defs +ellps=WGS84 +towgs84=0,0,0 
data source : F:\WorldPop\RFmap\data\IRQ\Lights\Derived\lights.tif 
names       : lights 
min values  :  -0.22 
max values  :  21584 

plot of chunk covariate_reports


WorldClim/BioClim Mean Annual Temperature 1950-2000, 30 arc-second

Folder: Temp
File Name: DEFAULT: BIO1
Source: http://www.worldclim.org/current
Description: WorldClim/BioClim 1950-2000 mean annual precipitation (BIO12) and mean annual temperature (BIO1) estimates (Hijmans et al., 2005) were downloaded, mosaicked and subset to match the extent of our land cover data for the mapping of this region.
Class: raster
Derived Covariates:
,

class       : RasterBrick 
dimensions  : 9432, 9356, 88245792, 1  (nrow, ncol, ncell, nlayers)
resolution  : 100, 100  (x, y)
extent      : -87798, 847802, 3206326, 4149526  (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
coord. ref. : +proj=utm +zone=38 +datum=WGS84 +units=m +no_defs +ellps=WGS84 +towgs84=0,0,0 
data source : F:\WorldPop\RFmap\data\IRQ\Temp\Derived\temp.tif 
names       : temp 
min values  :    4 
max values  :  258